Jake “The Juggernaut” Ellenberger will be given the opportunity to strengthen his claim as the number one contender in the UFC’s welter weight division this Friday when he faces off with Martin “The Hitman” Kampmann. The other top contenders in the division who will probably be watching this fight closer than anyone else are Rory MacDonald and Johny Hendricks. In my opinion, they should be cheering for Kampann, because a loss for Ellenberger would give both fighters a stronger argument for number one contendership in a very crowded welterweight division. At the top sits George “Rush” St. Pierre. While GSP has been recovering from injury, Carlos “The Natural Born Killer” Conditt took the Interim Welterweight title and is directly in line to challenge GSP for the full Monty at some point in the near future (fingers crossed).
Both Ellenberger and Kampann are on a win streak and both are seasoned enough to be given a fair chance in the main event. The reason I believe Ellenberger will win is because he has the more momentum of the two. He’s won more fights recently and done so in dominating fashion with four of his six recent wins by knock out and the only person to beat him in the last eleven fights being Carlos Conditt. In that fight he lost a split decision which is by no means a determinate on who was the better man that night.
What I like about Kampmann is that he has been around a long time in part because you can never count him out of a fight. Unfortunately he’s also lost close decisions in fights as well recently, which makes it difficult to gauge where he stands in the contender bracket even if he wins on Friday. But no one can take away the level of discipline he brings to the table. He reminded us of this when he submitted the dangerous striker Thiago Alves with a guillotine choke in the third round of a fight Alves was clearly winning.
My prediction: Ellenberger will utilize his high level wrestling and smooth transitions to neutralize Kampann’s game and eek by in a close decision. This one won’t be easy for him but I don’t see him taking risks to finish the fight against the likes of Kampann. Unfortunately for Kampann, I don’t think The Juggernaut was going to lose any momentum regardless of who was placed in front of him at this point in his career.